Stock prices tend to rise on news of Ukrainian gains or improvement on the ground, said Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM US.
If you chart those three days on the direction of the market, said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial, it’s clear that’s a contributing factor to the stock gains. “It’s good news, even at the margins,” she added.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has slowed global growth and increased inflation due to major energy supply disruptions – Russia accounts for well over 10% of global oil and natural gas production . Grain supplies were also disrupted, leading to a spike in commodity prices.
A shock to energy prices and the central bank’s pivot to fight inflation in Europe further weakened investor sentiment. Recessions now look certain in Europe as gas prices continue to accelerate through the winter.
“This lack of energy is expected to cause the European Union economy to plummet significantly this winter. Europe in recession will affect US commerce,” said Anthony Denier, CEO of Webull. “But, if Ukraine continues to post victories, the gas problem could be solved and everyone will be happy. So people are buying stocks today.”
The ongoing struggle in Ukraine is just one of several factors impacting markets in a week filled with central bank news, policy changes and new economic data.
Still, the war could drag on for some time, and Ukraine’s winning streak does not mean that the problems posed by the war will end anytime soon. Investors made themselves understood. The markets want to see an end to this war.
President Zelenskiy seems to understand this sentiment. He remotely rang the New York Stock Exchange opening bell on Tuesday as traders cheered and cheered him on.